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Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Bubble in Chinese Housing in the US?

The recent prices for houses in Arcadia and San Marino amaze me. A 1522 sq ft house in Arcadia is going for $960,000.  In San Marino, a 963 sq ft house for $1.2 Million. San Marino has one of the top school districts in CA, and Arcadia is not far behind. And top school districts are a big attraction for ethnic Chinese. And Arcadia and San Marino are in the middle of the San Gabriel Valley, that has a huge Chinese infrastructure - Chinese bakeries, restaurants, banks, etc. Which is why Beverly Hills that also has excellent schools, does not have a large Chinese population.

Chinese buyers are focused on Los Angeles, San Francisco, Irvine, New York, Las Vegas, Detroit, Seattle, Miami, Orlando, Boston Anderson SC, Chicago, Houston, San Diego. Yes, I know, Detroit?

My understanding, is a lot of Chinese are investing in the US as a safe haven, as well as for environmental reasons for their family. The question is if there is a $50,000 limit per year for taking money out of China, how were these housing purchases being made? What I read recently, is some Chinese banks had a special program for sending money out of the country for real estate purchases. CCTV did a recent expose on this, and the program was temporarily stopped. Per the WSJ the program will probably be restarted. A more negative view - Did China Just Crush The US Housing Market? My wife's comment, is Chinese have a lot of relatives, so there is going to be little impact on Chinese buying houses in the US.






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Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Arcadia Housing Bubble

I wish my parents had moved to Arcadia, instead of Monrovia back in 1965. Wow! The prices are because of Chinese buyers. Arcadia has an excellent school district. I am surprised about this type of price, since you can get something in San Marino, which is slightly better school district.

The Southern California flipper epidemic: A market in the middle of crosswinds. What a $2+ million flip in Arcadia will get you.

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Rowland Heights House Bubble Update

We just got a direct mail piece, saying how Ricky Li and his wife have been looking for a house with our floor plan for over a year with no luck. They are not going to repeat the mistakes that others made, so they have an all cash offer of 5% over the worth of our house.

Thoughts:
  1. Suspicious that first name is close to  my last name. And last name is close to my wife's. A fun psychological fact, you truth those more that have a name similar to yours. It may be coincidence, but...
  2. Letter was a form letter mass mailed, in color. My guess is the mailing cost at least $1 per mailed piece.
  3. It shows the Rowland Heights market is super hot.

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Wednesday, March 17, 2010

China - The upcoming superbubble?

Interesting point of view. The article also mentions how China has under appreciated their currency, as well as the problem of inefficient growth.

China: the coming costs of a super bubble - China may seem to have defied the recession and the laws of economics. It hasn't. When China's bubble bursts, the global impact will be severe, spiking US interest rates.

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Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Real Estate Bubble in China?

Market Defies Fear of Real Estate Bubble in China
Amazing how high the prices are. $45 million price tag for a duplex is one example. And I agree, when the rents are so much lower that usually signals a bubble.

And from this pdf on construction in China, the law seems to still be a bit chancy in the area of property rights.

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